旅游消费对区域产业结构转型的影响研究--基于空间计量模型与门槛效应的检验

Research on the Infl uence of Tourism Consumption on the Transformation of Regional Industrial Structure--Based on the Spatial Econometrics Model and the Threshold Eff ect

新发展阶段,旅游消费已成为促进我国产业结构转型的重要驱动力,本文利用空间滞后模型和门槛效应模型,实证检验了旅游消费对区域产业结构转型的影响及数字经济的门槛效应。研究发现:旅游消费对区域产业结构转型具有显著的正向空间溢出效应,不仅能促进本地区产业结构转型发展,还能促进周边地区产业结构转型发展;旅游消费对区域产业结构转型的影响存在显著的区域异质性,其对东部地区产业结构转型的驱动效应更强;旅游消费对区域产业结构转型的影响存在数字经济水平的双重门槛效应,随着数字经济水平的提升,旅游消费对区域产业结构转型的影响效果将得到强化。

In the new development stage,tourism consumption has become an important driving force to promote the transformation of China’s industrial structure.This paper empirically examines the impact of tourism consumption on the transformation of regional industrial structure and the threshold effect of the digital economy by using the spatial lag model and threshold effect model.It is found that:tourism consumption has a significant positive spatial spillover effect on regional industrial structure’s transformation,which not only promotes the development and transformation of industrial structure in the region,but also promotes the development and transformation of industrial structure in the neighboring regions;there is signifi cant regional heterogeneity in the impact of tourism consumption on regional industrial structure’s transformation,and its driving effect on the transformation of the industrial structure of the eastern regions is much stronger;the impact of tourism consumption on the transformation of the regional industrial structure has a double threshold effect of the level of the digital economy,and with the improvement of the level of the digital economy,the effect of tourism consumption on the transformation of regional industrial structure will be strengthened.