中国式城市现代化水平的多维测度——理论逻辑、时空演绎与提升路径

Multi-dimensional Measurement of Chinese Urban Modernization:Theoretical Logic,Spatial-temporal Characteristics,and Improving Path

城市现代化是中国式现代化的先导,定量测度中国式城市现代化水平具有重要现实意义。文章基于中国式现代化的五大理论内涵构建多维测度体系,结合2008—2020年中国283个地级及以上城市的数据,对中国式城市现代化水平进行了实证测度,并分析其时空演绎规律。研究发现:①中国式城市现代化水平整体上稳步提升,可划分为领先型、潜在领先型、成长型、追赶型和起步型五大类型;②中国式城市现代化水平总体上呈现“东高西低”的梯度格局,南北差距不断扩大,各维度发展也存在不均衡问题;③区域间差异是中国式城市现代化水平空间分异的主要来源,东部地区的区域内差异最大,东部—西部的区域间差异最大,总体水平的区域差异呈下降趋势;④中国式城市现代化水平具有显著的空间相关性,“东热西冷”空间分布相对稳定,热点区域“南进北退”及冷点区域“北进南退”的态势明显。基于此,提出中国式城市现代化水平的提升路径。

Urban modernization is the precursor of Chinese path to modernization,and quantitative measurement of the level of Chinese urban modernization is of great practical significance.Based on the data of 283 prefecture-level and above cities in China from 2008 to 2020,this paper constructs a multi-dimensional measurement system based on the five theoretical connotations of Chinese path to modernization,empirically measures the level of Chinese urban modernization,and analyzes its spatial-temporal evolution characteristics.The study shows that:1)The overall level of Chinese urban modernization presents a steady upward trend,specifically divided into five types:leading type,potential leading type,growing type,catching-up type,and starting type.2)The overall level of Chinese urban modernization presents a gradient pattern of"high in the eastern region and low in the western region",with a widening gap between the north of China and the south of China,and imbalanced development in various dimensions.3)Interregional differences are the main source of spatial differentiation in the level of Chinese urban modernization,with the largest intraregional differences in the eastern region and the largest interregional differences between the eastern and western regions.The overall regional differences show a downward trend.4)The level of Chinese urban modernization has a significant spatial correlation,with a relatively stable spatial distribution of"higher in the eastern of China and lower in the western of China".Areas with the higher value move form the north of China to the south of China,areas with lower value move from the the south of China to the north of China.Based on the above,it proposes policy recommendations to promote Chinese urban modernization.