我国经济增长与农村劳动力蓄水池的理论研究

Theoretical Research on China's Economic Growth and Rural Labour Pool

区域经济增长与就业关系协调发展,对稳就业、促进经济高质量发展具有重要意义。本文基于我国省级面板数据,从农村劳动力蓄水池视角,研究经济增长、城镇就业与新市民数量的关系。研究发现:经济增长与新市民数量存在显著的正相关关系,表明在城市经济扩张时能吸引农村剩余劳动力的流入,城市经济发展进入调整期劳动力又会回流至农村或小城镇,农村发挥了劳动力蓄水池的作用。基于此,从提升农村劳动力的专业技能水平、加强新农村建设、加快推进乡村振兴等方面提出政策建议。

The coordinated development of regional economic growth and employment is of great significance for stabilizing employment and promoting high-quality economic development.Based on China's provincial Panel data,this paper studies the relationship between economic growth,urban employment and the number of new citizens from the perspective of rural labour pool.The study found that there is a significant positive correlation between economic growth and the number of new citizens.It shows that when the urban economy expands,it can attract the inflow of rural surplus labor force,while the urban economic development enters the adjustment period,the labor force will return to the countryside or small towns.The countryside has played the role of a reservoir of labor force.Based on this,policy recommendations are proposed from improving the professional skills level of rural laborers,strengthening the construction of new rural areas,and accelerating the promotion of rural revitalization.