2013—2022年某精神病专科医院门诊量变化趋势分析

Trend analysis of changes in outpatient visits in a psychiatric hospital from 2013 to 2022

目的 通过对医院门诊量的统计,分析其动态变化规律,为制定医院发展规划和合理配置资源提供参考依据。方法 收集某精神病二级专科医院2013—2022年门诊工作量,采用季节指数分析法、移动平均趋势剔除法对月度、季度、年度门诊量进行统计分析。结果 门诊人次呈逐年增长趋势,2022年门诊量35 815人次,比2013年的15 831人次增长了126.23%;月度季节指数以12月最高,达到116.77%,2月最低,为74.42%;季度季节指数以第4季度最高,达到105.36%,第1季度最低,为95.4%。结论 医院门诊量呈逐年上升趋势,有明显的周期性和规律性,为医院管理、决策提供科学依据。

Objective To analyze the dynamic change pattern of hospital outpatient volume through statistics,and to provide reference basis for the formulation of hospital development planning and rational allocation of resources.Methods The outpatient workload of a second-class psychiatric hospital from 2013 to 2022 was collected,and seasonal index analysis and moving average trend elimination method were used to analyze statistically the monthly,quarterly,and annual outpatient volume.Results The number of outpatient visits showed an increasing trend year by year,with 35815 outpatient visits in 2022,which was 126.23%higher than 15831 visits in 2013;the monthly seasonal index was the highest in December at 116.77%,and the lowest in February at 74.42%;and the quarterly seasonal index was the highest in the fourth quarter at 105.36%,and the lowest in the first quarter at 95.4%.Conclusion The hospital outpatient volume is rising year by year,with obvious periodicity and regularity,which provides a scientific basis for hospital management and decision-making.