数字经济与旅游业高质量发展的耦合协调关系及互动效应研究——以西部民族地区为例

Study on the coupling and coordination relationship and interaction effect of digital economy and high quality development of tourism——Taking the westem ethnic regions as an example

数字经济与旅游业的深度融合是实现经济增长的关键力量,也是西部民族地区实现中国式现代化建设的坚实基础。从数字经济与旅游业高质量发展的协调互动视角出发,基于2010-2019年西部民族地区各省区面板数据,运用综合评价模型、耦合协调度模型、障碍度模型、面板Tobit模型等方法,考察西部民族地区各省区数字经济与旅游业高质量发展的动态演进、互动效应以及影响因子。结果表明:(1)西部民族地区数字经济与旅游业高质量发展综合发展水平呈上升态势,两者的耦合协调度逐年得到优化,相对发展类型趋势由数字经济滞后型向旅游业高质量发展滞后型转变;(2)旅游业高质量发展是数字经济发展的单向格兰杰原因,数字经济对旅游业高质量发展的正向影响较弱;(3)数字经济企业法人单位数、电信业务总量、旅游直接就业人数率是较为显著的障碍因子;经济发展水平、地区人口规模、产业结构、政府支持与交通发展水平是主要的外部影响因子。

The deep integration of digital economy and tourism is the key force to achieve economic growth,and it is also a solid foundation for the realization of China′s modernization in the western ethnic regions.From the perspective of coordination and interaction between digital economy and high-quality development of tourism,based on the panel data of various provinces and regions in western ethnic regions from 2010 to 2019,this paper used integrated evaluation model,coupling coordination degree model,obstacle degree model,panel Tobit model and other methods to investigate the dynamic evolution,interaction effect and influencing factors of digital economy and high-quality development of tourism in western ethnic areas.The results showed that:①The comprehensive development level of digital economy and high-quality development of tourism in western ethnic regions were on the rise,and the coupling coordination degree of the two was optimized year by year.The trend of relative development type changed from the lag of digital economy to the lag of high-quality development of tourism.②The high-quality development of tourism was the one-way Granger cause of the development of digital economy,and the positive impact of digital economy on the high-quality development of tourism was weak.③The number of digital economic enterprise legal person units,the total amount of telecommunications business,and the rate of direct employment in tourism were the more significant obstacle factors.Economic development level,regional population size,industrial structure,government support and transportation development level were the main external influencing factors.