“一带一路”背景下基础设施建设对我国农产品贸易的影响研究

Research on the Impact of Infrastructure Construction on China’s Agricultural Trade in the Context of the“Belt and Road”

本文基于中国与48个“一带一路”沿线国家2005—2021年的面板数据,以农产品进出口贸易额为被解释变量,构建拓展引力模型,实证分析交通、通信、能源基础设施建设于我国农产品贸易的影响。结果表明,各维度基础设施建设水平与我国农产品出口贸易均呈现正相关关系,但对进口贸易的影响存在异质性。为推动我国农产品贸易持续发展,我国应不断加强“一带一路”基础设施建设,提升区域农业经贸合作水平。

Based on the panel data of China and 48 countries along the“Belt and Road”from 2005 to 2021,this paper constructs an extended gravity model with the volume of import and export trade of agricultural products as the explanatory variable,and empirically analyzes the impacts of the construction of transport,communication and energy infrastructure on the trade of agricultural products in China.The results show that the level of infrastructure construction in each dimension is positively correlated with China’s agricultural export trade,but the impact on import trade is heterogeneous.To promote the sustainable development of China’s agricultural trade,China should continuously strengthen the infrastructure construction of the“Belt and Road”and enhance the level of regional agricultural economic and trade cooperation.