经济增长目标压力与城市规模空间分布

Pressure of economic growth targets and the spatial distribution of urban scale

以2004—2019年我国368个城市为样本,从经济增长目标压力视角研究了政府主导对城市规模空间分布的影响,结果显示:经济增长目标压力将导致城市规模呈集中式分布,政府主导强化了城市规模增长的“马太效应”。经济增长压力将促使内陆与外围城市人口集中,交通基础设施条件好、房价低、经济欠发达的城市将受到经济增长压力的显著影响,大规模交通基础设施建设、资源过度集中与同质化就业结构调整是人口加速集中分布的主要机制,市场化将削弱经济增长压力两极化人口空间布局效应。基于此,从政府与市场有机结合等角度提出从城市竞争向协调发展转变的政策建议。

This article uses 368 cities from 2004 to 2019 as samples to study the impact of government leadership on the spatial distribution of urban size from the perspective of economic growth target pressure.The results indicate that the pressure of economic growth targets will lead to a centralized distribution of urban scale,and government leadership has strengthened the"Matthew effect"of urban scale growth.The pressure of economic growth will promote population concentration in inland and peripheral cities.Cities with good transportation infrastructure,low housing prices,and underdeveloped economies will be significantly affected by economic growth pressures.The large-scale construction of transportation infrastructure,excessive concentration of resources,and homogenization of employment structure adjustment are the main mechanisms for accelerating population concentration and distribution.Marketization will weaken the pressure of economic growth and the spatial distribution effect of polarized population.To this end,policy recommendations for the transition from urban competition to coordinated development are proposed from the perspective of organic integration between the government and the market.