建设贸易强国背景下中国出口林产品质量水平及国际比较

Quality Level of China's Exported Forest Products and Its International Comparison Under the Background of Building a Strong Country in Trade

文中利用2010—2019年中国及其41个主要林产品贸易伙伴国进出口数据,运用Khandelwal提出的嵌套Logit模型测算各国出口林产品质量,并进行了国际比较分析。结果表明:1)出口林产品质量居世界第1位的是卢森堡,质量测度值为98.97;印度居最后一位,出口林产品质量测度值为1.34;中国出口林产品质量排位不高,位居倒数第2,仍有较大提升空间。2)多数国家出口林产品质量不高,10年间虽总体呈上升趋势,但增长幅度较小。3)出口林产品质量与国家经济发展水平并非完全正相关的关系,但总体而言北欧国家出口林产品质量较高,亚洲地区国家较低,说明出口林产品质量与国际分工角色和定位有关。

Using the import and export data of China and its 41 major forest product trading partner countries from 2010 to 2019,the paper adopts the Nested Logit Model proposed by Khandelwal to calculate and compare the quality of exported forest products by various countries.The results show that:1)Luxembourg ranks first with a quality value of 98.97 for exported forest products,while India ranks last with a quality value of 1.34.The quality of China's exported forest product is not high,ranking second to last,indicating there is still significant room for improvement;2)The quality of forest products exported by most countries is not high,and although there is an overall upward trend in the past decade,the growth rate is relatively small;and 3)The quality of exported forest products is not entirely positively correlated with the level of national economic development.In general,the forest products exported by Nordic countries have higher quality,while those exported by Asian countries have lower quality,indicating that the quality of exported forest products is related to the international division of labor and positioning of forest products.