地方政府支持产业数字化转型模式及政策量化评价:以制造业为例

Quantitative Evaluation on Model and Policies of Local Government Supporting Industrial Digital Transformation:Taking the Manufacturing Industry as an Example

为深入探究当前我国地方政府支持制造业数字化转型的主要模式及区域异质性,基于我国部分地区出台的24项制造业数字化转型政策,采用文本挖掘、共词分析及聚类分析方法,构建地方政府支持制造业数字化转型的模式分析框架,建立由5个一级指标、55个二级指标构成的政策一致性指数模型(PMC),选择广东、山东、江苏、安徽、陕西、吉林六省出台的相关政策进行量化评价,并通过均值比较和凹陷指数分析方法找出政策优化路径。结果发现:(1)各省推进制造业数字化转型的逻辑呈现内在一致性,只是具体支持方式存在一定差异;(2)各省政策总体较为合理,指数得分排名与其经济发展水平相关度较高,东部省份的政策无论从数量还是质量上均优于中部和西部省份;(3)六省政策在转型依托和实现功能两方面表现优异,但在转型路径、支撑保障以及政策工具三方面存在较大差异,区域异质性特征明显。最后,基于研究结论,提出要加强运用强制型政策工具等建议,并对未来的研究方向进行展望。

To deeply explore the main models and regional heterogeneity of local governments supporting the digital transformation of manufacturing industry in China,based on the 24 digital transformation policies for the manufacturing industry introduced by some provinces and municipalities,a model framework of local government support for manufacturing digital transformation patterns is constructed by using text mining,co-word analysis and cluster analysis methods,a PMC index model(policy model and critique)consisting of 5 primary indicators and 55 secondary indicators is established to quantitatively evaluate the relevant policies introduced by Guangdong,Shandong,Jiangsu,Anhui,Shaanxi,and Jilin provinces,and the mean comparison and depression index analysis methods are used to identify policy optimization paths.The findings of the study are as follows:(1)The logic of promoting digital transformation of manufacturing industry in each province shows internal consistency,only that there are some differences in specific support methods.(2)The policies of each province are generally more reasonable,the index score ranking is highly correlated with the level of economic development,and the policies of eastern provinces are better than those of central and western provinces in terms of both quantity and quality.(3)The six provincial policies perform wellin two aspects of transformation dependence and function realization,but there are significant differences in transformation paths,support guarantees,and policy tools,with obvious regional heterogeneity characteristics.Finally,based on the research findings,suggestions such as strengthening the use of mandatory policy tools are proposed,and the future research directions are foreseen.