黄河流域农业保险高质量发展水平时空演进特征及障碍因子识别

Spatio-temporal evolution characteristics and obstacle factors identification of high quality development level of agricultural insurance in the Yellow River Basin

农业保险高质量发展为农业发展提供风险保障,对实现高质量发展有重要意义。本研究以黄河干支流经过的9个省份为研究对象,运用基于熵值的TOPSIS法,分析了2010—2020年黄河流域农业保险高质量发展水平的时空演进规律,并利用障碍度模型识别其主要的发展障碍因子。研究结果表明,时序演变上,黄河流域总体农业保险高质量发展水平呈现波动上升趋势,但整体水平仍然相对较低,不同省份农业保险高质量发展速度和水平不同。空间演进特征上呈现“二元空间结构”,并由低梯度逐渐向高梯度演变,呈现出更加复杂的发展格局。此外,障碍因子识别结果表明,政府扶持力度和农业保险发展水平等因素制约黄河流域农业保险高质量发展。因此,建议加大政府对农业保险的支持力度,明晰政府部门在农业保险发展中的权责,提高农业保险的发展水平等,从而实现黄河流域农业保险高质量发展。

High-quality development of agricultural insurance provides risk protection for agricultural development,which is important for realizing high-quality development.Taking the nine provinces through which the main tributaries of the Yellow River pass as examples,the study analyzes the spatio-temporal evolution pattern of the level of highquality development of agricultural insurance in the Yellow River Basin in the period of 2010–2020 by using the entropy-based TOPSIS methods and utilizes the obstacle-degree model to identify its main development obstacle factors.The results of the study show that,in terms of temporal evolution,the overall level of high-quality development of agricultural insurance in the Yellow River Basin shows a fluctuating upward trend,but the overall level is still relatively low,and the speed and level of high-quality development of agricultural insurance in different provinces are different.In terms of spatial evolution,there is a “binary spatial structure”,and it gradually evolves from a low gradient to a high gradient,presenting a more complex development pattern.In addition,the results of the identification of obstacle factors show that factors such as government support and the development level of agricultural insurance constrain the high-quality development of agricultural insurance in the Yellow River Basin.Therefore,it is recommended to increase government support for agricultural insurance,clarify the rights and responsibilities of government departments in the development of agricultural insurance,and improve the development level of agricultural insurance,etc.,so as to realize the high-quality development of agricultural insurance in the Yellow River Basin.