中国碳排放影响因素及识别方法研究现状

RESEARCH STATUS OF INFLUENCING FACTORS AND IDENTIFICATION METHODS OF CARBON EMISSIONS IN CHINA

碳排放量变化情况影响中国“碳达峰”“碳中和”目标的实现,研究碳排放影响因素与碳排放的关系是重要环节。目前,国内外学者对碳排放影响因素进行了大量研究,涉及国家、区域,行业层面,碳排放影响因素具有空间、时间维度的复杂性,重要性随着空间、时间动态改变,识别方法具有不同的适用性,不断变化的碳排放影响因素对识别方法提出了更高要求。这些特点导致现有碳排放研究结果庞大复杂,缺少系统性梳理。因此,从识别内容和理论角度出发,对碳排放影响因素及识别方法变化历程进行全面分析,确定影响中国碳排放的主要因素,并提出未来研究趋势与方向,为进一步开展因素研究提供参考。

The change of carbon emissions affects the realization of China's carbon peaking and neutrality goals.Study on the influencing factors of carbon emissions is an important part.Currently,scholars at home and abroad have conducted a lot of research on the influencing factors of carbon emissions,involving national,regional,and provincial levels,and industry levels,but those factors have the complexity of spatial and temporal dimensions.The importance of influencing factors of carbon emissions changes dynamically with space and time,and the identification methods for the factors have different applicability,and the changing influencing factors of carbon emissions put forward higher requirements for the identification methods.These characteristics lead to the large and complex research results of existing carbon emissions research and lack of systematic combing.Therefore,from the perspective of identification content and theory,this paper comprehensively analyzes the influencing factors of carbon emissions and the change process of the identification methods,determines the main influencing factors of China's carbon emissions,and puts forward trend and directions for the further research.