基于模糊综合评价的空管安全风险评估分析

Safety Risk Assessment and Analysis of Air Traffic Control Based on Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation

随着时代的不断进步以及经济发展水平的不断发展,空中交通运输的规模也在不断扩大,如何加强空管运行安全已成为人们需要面对的重要挑战。本文以空管安全风险模糊综合评价的可行性分析作为切入点,基于评估指标体系筛选、单指标风险评估、风险类值评估以及综合风险评估等角度构建了空管安全风险模糊综合评估模型,并以我国华东地区某空管站为例,对其综合安全风险进行了评价,最后依托软件平台进行了仿真分析,力求为规避空管安全风险,提升风险管控力度提供支持和帮助。

With the continuous progress of the times and the continuous development of the level of economic development,the scale of air transportation is also expanding,and how to strengthen the safety of air traffic control has become an important challenge that people need to face.Based on the feasibility analysis of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation of air traffic control safety risk,this paper constructs a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation model of air traffic control safety risk based on the selection of evaluation index system,single index risk evaluation,risk class value evaluation and comprehensive risk evaluation,and takes an air traffic control station in East China as an example to evaluate its comprehensive safety risk.Finally,the simulation analysis is carried out based on the software platform,in order to provide support and help for avoiding air traffic control safety risk and improving risk management and control.