RCEP成员国技术性贸易壁垒对我国农产品出口影响的实证分析

Empirical Analysis on the Effect of RCEP Members'Technical Trade Barriers on China's Agricultural Export

“区域全面经济伙伴关系协定”(Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership,RCEP)是全球经贸规模最大的区域经济合作协定。随着关税壁垒的逐步消减,技术性贸易壁垒可能成为当前国际贸易中最为隐蔽、最难应对的非关税壁垒。本研究运用贸易引力模型对RCEP成员国技术性贸易壁垒对我国农产品出口影响进行实证分析发现:技术性贸易壁垒对我国农产品出口具有显著的抑制作用;各成员国发布的SPS和TBT通报中,SPS设置是影响我国农产品出口的主要因素,而TBT作用不显著。实证分析结果印证了随着我国农产品出口贸易量的不断增大,遭受的技术性贸易壁垒程度也在加大。结果提示:我国需要进一步提升农产品质量,增强农产品国际竞争力;建立与国际接轨的标准体系、技术法规体系、质量认证体系以及技术性贸易措施预警机制,来应对技术性贸易壁垒对我国农产品出口带来的影响。

Regional comprehensive economic partnership(RCEP)is the largest regional economic cooperation partnership in the world.With gradual reduction of tariff barriers,technical trade barriers may become the non-tariff barriers that were the most hidden and difficult to deal with in current international trade.In the paper,a trade gravity model was used to empirically analyze the effect of RCEP members'technical trade barriers on China's agricultural export.The results revealed that China's agricultural export was obviously inhibited by technical trade barriers;in the notifications of SPS and TBT issued by the members,the setting of SPS,instead of TBT,was the main factor affecting China's agricultural export.The results confirmed that the degree of technical trade barriers suffered by China was increasing with continuous increase of the amount of China's agricultural export.It was therefore indicated that the quality of China's agricultural products should be improved to enhance their international competitiveness;and the standard system,technical regulations,quality certification system and warning mechanism of technical trade measures that were in line with international standards should be established to address possible effect of technical trade barriers on China's agricultural export.