生育对女性农民工居留意愿的影响研究——基于生命历程的视角

The impact of childbearing on the residence intention of female rural-urban migrants——based on the perspective of life course

生育是女性农民工生命历程中无法回避的话题,对其城市居留意愿有着重要的影响。基于生命历程视角,结合2017年全国流动人口卫生计生动态监测调查数据,运用二元Logistic模型分析生育对女性农民工居留意愿的影响。研究发现,生育对女性农民工居留意愿有着积极促进作用。其中,代际差异呈现出倒U型的影响,0~1个孩子对女性农民工居留意愿影响不显著,而2个与3个及以上子女对女性农民工居留意愿影响显著。与子女一起流动对女性农民工居留意愿影响更强。

Childbearing is an unavoidable topic in the life course of female rural-urban migrants,which has an important impact on their urban residence intention.Based on the 2017 China Migrants Dynamic Survey(CMDS)data,this study uses the Binary Logistic model to analyze the impact of childbearing on the residence intention of female rural-urban migrants from the perspective of life course.The results of the study show that childbearing has a positive effect on the residence intention of female rural-urban migrants.Among them,the intergenerational difference shows an inverted U-shaped effect.0~1 child has no significant effect on the residence intention of female rural-urban migrants,while 2 and 3 children or more have a significant effect on the residence intention of female rural-urban migrants.And moving with their children has a stronger impact on the residence intention of fe-male rural-urban migrants.