情报公开的决策动机、潜在矛盾与战略启示

Decision-Making Motives,Potential Contradictions and Strategic Implications of Intelligence Disclosure

[研究目的]伴随着全球进入数字信息时代,各国情报公开的现象逐渐增多。从传统情报秘密化到情报走向公开化,情报发展出现了巨大的转变。通过对情报公开现象进行探究,有助于推动我国情报事业的创新发展,提高情报应用的效率和顺应时代发展的要求。[研究方法]综合采用文献梳理、历史回顾以及案例分析的方法对情报公开的决策动机、潜在矛盾进行多方面分析。[研究结论]情报公开在国内外复杂的社会环境中,既是相关利益的主动寻求行为,也是各种压力的相互传导所迫。同时,情报公开也存在威慑失败、情报权威受损、情报网络被破坏,以及引起社会恐慌等问题。对此,我国情报事业应当自上而下进行顶层设计和规范管理,将情报公开统筹于国家战略行动之中,维护情报部门和情报内容的权威性,有选择地公开情报。

[Research purpose]As the world entering the digital information age,the phenomenon of intelligence disclosure in many countries is gradually increasing.From the secrecy of traditional intelligence to the openness of intelligence,there has been a huge change in the development of intelligence.By exploring the phenomenon of intelligence disclosure,this paper will help to promote the innovation and development of China's intelligence industry,improve the efficiency of intelligence application,and meet the requirements of the development of the times.[Research method]Comprehensively adopts the methods of literature review,historical review and case analysis to analyze the decision-making motivation and potential contradictions of intelligence disclosure,and provide corresponding experience reference for the development of intelligence in China.[Research conclusion]This article believes that in the complex social environment at home and abroad,intelligence disclosure is not only the active seeking behavior of relevant interests,but also the mutual transmission of various pressures.At the same time,intelligence disclosure also has problems such as failure of deterrence,damage to intelligence authority,destruction of intelligence networks,and social panic.In this regard,China's intelligence work should carry out top-level design and standardized management from top to bottom,integrate intelligence disclosure into national strategic actions,maintain the authority of intelligence departments and intelligence content,and conduct intelligence disclosure selectively.