基于演化博弈的老旧小区改造项目利益分配研究

Research on Benefit Distribution of Old Residential Areas Renovation Project Based on Evolutionary Game

通过构建政府部门、开发商、居民的三方动态演化博弈模型,分析利益相关者在不同情况下的进化稳定策略(ESS);通过仿真分析,探究政府奖励力度系数、可变成本节约系数、增量收益分成系数对利益相关者演化稳定策略的影响;最后提出建立财政奖励、保持沟通渠道畅通、建立居民参与的增量收益分享机制等政策建议,以期为制定科学合理的老旧小区改造项目利益分配机制提供一定理论参考。

This paper analyzes the evolutionary stability strategy(ESS)of stakeholders in different situations by constructing a tripartite dynamic evolutionary game model of government departments,developers and residents.Through simulation analysis,the influence of government reward coefficient,variable cost saving coefficient and incremental revenue sharing coefficient on the evolutionary stability strategy of stakeholders is explored.Finally,it puts forward policy suggestions such as establishing financial incentives,maintaining communication channels open,and establishing an incremental revenue sharing mechanism for residents to participate,in order to provide a theoretical reference for formulating a scientific and reasonable benefit distribution mechanism for old residential areas renovation projects.