外需下滑对产业链冲击的影响研究

Study on the Impact of Declining External Demand on Industry Chain

2022年三季度之后,我国出口增速呈现快速下降的趋势。作为制造业和出口大国,外需的急剧变化影响到了制造业的开工和投资,影响就业和收入。本文基于投入产出表研究了外需下滑对不同制造行业的影响与冲击,发现依赖于出口的纺织业、计算机通信制造业等行业受外需下滑影响出现产值和盈利能力下降等问题,部分内需依赖型行业也有所波及。本文建议,要打造有利于制造业转型升级相匹配的良好发展环境,持续优化产品结构,加快产业链升级,推动出口目的地多元化及强化区域经贸合作。

After the third quarter of last year,China's exports showed a rapid decline.As a large manufacturing and export country,sharp changes in external demand have affected the manufacture and investment of the industry,as well as employment and income.Therefore,based on the input-output table,this paper studies the impact of declining external demand on different manufacturing industries,deeply analyzes the difficulties and changes encountered by manufacturing industries mainly dependent on exports,and puts forward corresponding suggestions.