科技革命与中国主导产业空间格局演变:机理、规律与趋势

Scientific and Technological Revolutions and the Evolution of the Spatial Pattern of China’s Leading Industries: Mechanism,Law and Trend

把握主导产业空间格局的演变规律和发展趋势可为缩小区域差距和构建新发展格局提供支撑。前三次科技革命时期,高度依赖国内外资源和国外市场的主导产业受到地理条件、自然资源和国外市场的很大约束,其他主导产业均在市场机制的主导下呈现先聚集后分散的空间演变规律。第四次科技革命时期,京津冀、长三角和粤港澳大湾区将是人工智能产业在未来较长时期的主要聚集区,这一空间格局趋于协调的条件取决于人工智能产业的生命周期、相关基础设施的完善程度以及区域协调发展战略政策的方向和力度等。

Grasping the evolution law and development trend of the spatial pattern of leading industries can provide support for narrowing regional disparities and constructing the New Development Pattern.During the first three scientific and technological revolutions,leading industries that relied heavily on domestic and foreign resources and foreign markets were greatly constrained by geographical conditions,natural resources,and foreign markets.Other leading industries exhibited a spatial evolution pattern of first gathering and then dispersing under the leadership of market mechanisms.During the fourth scientific and technological revolution,Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei,the Yangtze River Delta and the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area would be the main gathering areas for the artificial intelligence industry in the future for a long period of time.The conditions for this spatial pattern to become coordinated depended on the life cycle of the artificial intelligence industry,the degree of improvement of relevant infrastructure,and the direction and strength of regional coordinated development strategies and policies.