马铃薯产业发展的农民增收带动效应分析——以甘肃省定西市为例

Analysis of the Effect of Increasing Farmers'Income on the Development of Potato Industry:A Case Study of Dingxi City,Gansu Province

马铃薯是甘肃省定西市主要粮食作物和特色产业。在整理归纳相关文献资料基础上,阐述定西市马铃薯产业发展现状,从农村居民人均可支配收入角度出发,通过偏相关性检验和通径分析,揭示马铃薯产业发展的农民增收带动效应。马铃薯市场价格与农村居民人均可支配收入呈显著正相关性,直接通径系数为0.5171;劳动力投入与农村居民人均可支配收入呈显著负相关性,直接通径系数为-0.4117;马铃薯总产量和生产成本的影响程度次于马铃薯市场价格,直接通径系数分别为0.1406和0.0972。提出要进一步加大政策扶持力度,提升产业化经营组织带动农民就业增收能力,加强科研创新能力,挖掘马铃薯产业价值,以推动定西市马铃薯产业发展,为农民增收。

Potato is a major food crop and characteristic industry in Dingxi City.On the basis of summarizing relevant documents,the development situation of potato industry in Dingxi City was expounded.From the perspective of rural residents per capita disposable income,through partial correlation test and path analysis method,the effect of increasing farmers'income on the development of potato industry was revealed.The potato market price had a significant positive correlation with the per capita disposable income of rural residents,and direct path coefficient was 0.5171;the labor input had a significant negative correlation with the per capita disposable income of rural residents,and the direct path coefficient was-0.4117.The influence of the total potato yield and the potato production cost was secondary to the potato market price,with the direct path coefficients of 0.1406 and 0.0972,respectively.Finally,It was proposed to further increase policy support,enhance the ability of industrial management organization to promote farmers'employment and income,strengthen scientific research and innovation,and explore the value of potato industry,so as to promote the development of potato industry in Dingxi City and increase farmers'income.