数字经济对体育产业高质量发展的影响——基于中介模型和门槛模型的检验

Influence of Digital Economy on the High-quality Development of Sports Industry:Verification Based on Mediation Model and Threshold Model

对我国19个省级行政区2012—2021年的面板数据进行实证分析,通过建立中介模型和门槛模型探究数字经济与我国体育产业高质量发展的关系。结果显示:①在固定效应模型的基础上进行实证分析发现,数字经济对体育产业高质量发展产生推动作用;②在数字经济促进体育产业高质量发展过程中,产业结构作为中介变量、科技创新作为调节变量在其中起到相应的促进作用;③数字经济与体育产业高质量发展之间显著存在产业结构一阶门槛和科技创新二阶门槛效应。提出:应从提升数字经济发展水平、优化产业结构以及提升科技创新水平等方面促进体育产业高质量发展,推进社会主义现代化体育强国建设。

Data of 2012–2021 from 19 provinces in China are selected to analyze the relationship between digital economy and high-quality development of China's sports industry by establishing the Mediation model and Threshold model.The empirical analysis shows that digital economy can promote the high-quality development of the sports industry based on the fixed effect model;while in the process of digital economy promoting its high-quality development,industrial structure as an intermediary variable and scientific and technological innovation as a moderating variable play the promoting roles accordingly.And,there is a significant first-order threshold effect of industrial structure and second-order threshold effect of scientific and technological innovation between digital economy and high-quality development of sports industry.It is proposed to improve the high-quality development of sports industry in three aspects,that is,to develop the digital economy level,optimize the industrial structure,and to improve the scientific and technological innovation level,thus to promote the construction of socialist modern sports power.