产业消费“双升级”的多维测度及影响因素分析

Multi-dimensional Measurement and Influencing Factors Analysis of"Double Upgrading"of Industry Consumption

选取2005—2020年中国省级面板数据,对产业与消费“双升级”水平进行定量测度,实证分析技术创新、人力资本、人口老龄化、城镇化水平对产业与消费“双升级”的影响及其区域异质性。研究发现,中国产业与消费“双升级”的发展态势良好,但仍处于磨合阶段,产业升级相对滞后,协同发展能力仍需提升;技术创新、人力资本、人口老龄化、城镇化水平对产业与消费“双升级”均具有显著的促进作用,存在明显的区域异质性。

Select China's provincial panel data from 2005 to 2020,this paper quantitatively measures the level of"double upgra-ding"of industry and consumption,and empirically analyzes the impact of technological innovation,human capital,population aging,and urbanization level on the"double upgrading"of industry and consumption and its regional heterogeneity.The research finds that China's industrial and consumption"double upgrading"is in a good development trend,but it is still in the running-in stage,industrial upgrading is relatively lagging behind,and the ability of coordinated development still needs to be improved;Technological innovation,human capital,population aging and urbanization level all have significant promoting effects on the"double upgrading"of industry and consum-ption,and there is obvious regional heterogeneity.