我国石化产业碳中和路径展望

CARBON NEUTRALITY PATHWAY OUTLOOK FOR CHINA’S PETROCHEMICAL INDUSTRY

我国石化产业碳排放比例高,产业仍处于增长期,有增碳需求,实现“双碳”目标面临重大挑战,必须明确发展思路,积极稳妥推动产业低碳转型和高质量发展。当前,石化产业面临交通领域替代能源快速发展、化工品需求仍将增长、氢能载体作用凸显、“双碳”政策持续发力等形势,需要在推动产业升级、开展节能降碳、推进清洁替代、突出创新引领、加强保障措施等方面持续发力。通过对产业结构调整、实施绿氢炼化、与CCUS融合发展等关键路径的分析和研判,在碳中和目标下提出一种可能的路径组合和趋势展望,分析不同阶段的发展特征并提出建议。

China’s petrochemical industry has a high proportion of carbon emissions.The industry is still in a period of growth and has a need to increase its carbon emissions,so it faces a major challenge to realize the“double carbon”goal.We must clarify the development of ideas,and actively and steadily promote the industry’s low-carbon transformation and high-quality development.Currently,the petrochemical industry is facing a lot of situations,including the rapid development of alternative energy in the field of transportation,the role of hydrogen energy carrier highlights the“double carbon”policy continues to make efforts.Continued efforts are needed in several areas,such as promoting industrial upgrading,energy saving and carbon reduction,promoting clean alternatives,highlighting innovation and leadership,and strengthening safeguard measures.By analyzing and judging the key paths of industrial structural adjustment,implementation of green hydrogen refining,and integration with CCUS,we propose a possible combination of paths and trends that can achieve the carbon neutral target,analyze the characteristics of development at different stages,and make recommendations.