聚集与扩散:区位因素驱动的中国入境旅游产业空间变迁

Agglomeration and Diffusion:The Migration of Chinese Inbound Tourism Industry Driven by Location Factors

本文从旅游需求市场的区位特征与旅游产业集聚关系的角度出发,提出一个用于解释入境旅游产业集聚原因及机制的分析框架。基于社会网络分析法,从宏观角度构建入境客流整体网模型,揭示入境客流空间分布整体情况;从中观视角将整体网划分为四个局域网,分析入境客流境内扩散的区域偏好。最后从微观视角基于省际面板数据构建动态门槛模型,解释需求区位变化驱动入境旅游产业聚集和扩散的内在机理。研究发现入境客流网络结构差异是驱动我国入境旅游产业集聚或扩散的重要力量,即入境旅客流动扩散的区域化差异导致入境客流网络结构发生改变,入境客流网络结构变化反映入境旅游需求市场变化,这种变化将导致入境旅游产业在区域间聚集或扩散。

From the perspective of the relationship between the location characteristics of the tourism demand market and the agglomeration of the tourism industry,this paper puts forward an analytical frame-work for explaining the reasons and mechanisms of inbound tourism industry agglomeration.Based on the analysis of social networks,This paper constructs an overall network model of inbound passenger flow from a macro perspective and reveals the overall situation of the spatial distribution of inbound passenger flow.And then,dividing the overall network into four local area networks from a meso perspective,and analyzes the regional preference for the spread of inbound passenger flow within the country.Finally,from the mi-cro perspective,a dynamic threshold model is constructed based on the provincial panel data to explain the internal mechanism of the demand location change driving the aggregation or diffusion of the inbound tourism industry.The research found that the network structure difference of inbound passenger flow is an important force driving the agglomeration or diffusion of China's inbound tourism industry.Regional differ-ences in the diffusion flow of inbound passenger lead to changes in the network structure of the inbound passenger flow,and the changes in the network structure reflect the variations in inbound tourism demand markets,which will lead to the agglomeration or diffusion of inbound tourism industry among regions.