乡村振兴背景下新疆策勒县一二三产融合发展水平测度与驱动因素研究

Research on the measurement and driving factors of integrated development level of primary,secondary and tertiary industries in Qira County of Xinjiang under the background of rural revitalization

采用熵值法、农业产业融合指数模型、灰色关联度分析法测算与分析新疆策勒县2015—2019年农村产业融合水平及驱动因素。结果表明,研究期内,策勒县ACDI指数从0.108 9增至0.566 4,但仍处于起步阶段。产业融合行为与融合发展经济社会效益指标指数均呈增长趋势。产业链延伸、农业多功能拓展、农业与服务业融合、增收与就业4个分类指数均呈现稳定增长,城乡一体化趋势略有波动。关联产业、市场需求等5类因素对策勒县产业融合发展关联度较高且影响程度显著。据此,提出“接二连三”“倚二连三”“跨二连三”“由三接一”等策勒县产业融合发展模式,并从有效延伸农业产业链、催生农业新业态、完善人才、金融财政、科技保障体系等方面提出对策建议,旨在推进策勒县脱贫巩固与产业融合发展,实现产业兴旺,助力乡村振兴。

The entropy method,agricultural industry integration index model,and gray correlation analysis method were used to cal⁃culate and analyze the level of rural industry integration and driving factors in Qira County,Xinjiang from 2015 to 2019.The results showed that during the study period,the ACDI index of Qira County increased from 0.1089 to 0.5664,but it was still in its infancy.Both the index of the industrial integration behavior and the integrated development economic and social benefit showed an increasing trend.The four sub-indexes of industrial chain extension,agricultural multi-functional expansion,integration of agriculture and ser⁃vice industry,income increase and employment all showed steady growth,and the trend of urban-rural integration fluctuated slightly.Related industries,market demand and other five factors were highly correlated with the industrial integration development in Qira County,and the impact was significant.Accordingly,the integrated development models of industries in Qira County such as“con⁃necting secondary and tertiary industries”“relying on the secondary industry to connect the tertiary industry”“spanning the secondary industry to connect the tertiary industry”,and“connecting the tertiary industry to the primary industry”were proposed.Finally,some countermeasures and suggestions were put forward from the aspects of effectively extending the agricultural industry chain,promoting new agricultural business forms,and perfecting talents,finance,science and technology guarantee system,in order to promote the consolidation of poverty alleviation and industrial integrated development in Qira County,realize industrial prosperity and help rural revitalization.