海上移动风险源环境风险评价模型研究与应用

Research and application of environmental risk assessment model for marine mobile risk sources

在对海上运输危险品船舶AIS数据特征分析的基础上,构建了基于人为因素、船舶因素、航行环境、自然环境和风险受体的海上移动风险源环境风险综合评价指标体系,运用层次分析法建立了风险评价模型,划分了3级风险等级,并在杭州湾北部海域开展了实例研究与应用服务,为有关部门决策管理提供参考。

Based on the analysis of AIS data characteristics of ships transporting dangerous goods by sea,a comprehensive environmental risk assessment index system for marine mobile risk sources based on human factors,ship factors,navigation environment,natural environment and risk receptors was constructed,a risk assessment model was established by using the analytic hierarchy process,three risk levels were divided,and case studies and application services were carried out in the northern waters of Hangzhou Bay,providing reference for decision-making management of relevant departments.