不同消费者从众心理强度下制造商碳交易与减排决策演化分析

Analysis of Carbon Trading Evolution for Manufacturers under Different Carbon Quota Policies

文章通过计算实验,探讨了不同消费者从众心理强度对制造商碳交易与减排决策的影响。研究发现,消费者从众心理强度越高,制造商碳交易价格越高。这是因为消费者从众心理强度较高时,更倾向于购买热门产品,导致产品销量上升,增加碳排放量,从而增加碳交易市场需求,导致碳交易价格上涨。同时,不同消费者从众心理强度对制造商的碳排放量产生不同的影响,消费者从众心理强度越高,制造商增加产品生产量,增加碳排放量,价格上涨。文章可为碳交易与减排决策提供参考,尤其对于市场需求预测和生产计划安排等方面提供参考意义。

This paper,using Agent-based modeling,investigates the effects of different levels of consumers'conformity on manufacturers'carbon trading and emission reduction decisions.The research findings show that as consumers'conformity increases,the carbon trading price of manufacturers also increases.This is due to the fact that when consumers have higher conformity,they are more likely to purchase popular products,leading to an increase in product sales and carbon emissions,which in turn increases the demand for carbon trading and leads to a rise in prices.Moreover,different levels of consumers'conformity have different impacts on manufacturers'carbon emissions.When consumers have higher conformity,manufacturers increase production,leading to an increase in carbon emissions and a rise in prices.This paper provides guidance for carbon trading and emission reduction decisions,especially in market demand prediction and production planning.