粤港澳大湾区“四链”融合发展评价探索性研究:基于耦合协调度与灰色关联度的分析

An Exploratory Study on Evaluating the Integrated Development of the Four“Chains”in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area:An Analysis Based on Coupling Coordination Degree Model and Grey Correlation Degree Analysis

面对当前要素驱动向创新驱动转型的现实发展需求,粤港澳大湾区已初步构筑起创新链、产业链、资金链、人才链“四链”深度融合的基础生态,但融合的状态、水平和层次都存在可以优化提升的空间。文章采用耦合协调度与灰色关联度对粤港澳大湾区“四链”融合发展水平进行实证分析,研究发现:“创新—产业—资金—人才”四个子链已逐渐从低水平均衡向高水平均衡过渡,从极度不协调发展向高度协调状态过渡发展。“创新链—产业链”子系统耦合对整体“四链”融合水平贡献度最高。

Facing the current development needs of shifting from factor-driven to innovation-driven transformation,a fundamental environment for a preliminary integration of the innovation chain,industrial chain,capital chain,and talent chain has been initially set up in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area.However,there is room for improvement in terms of the quality and level of integration.Through an empirical analysis using the methods of coupling coordination degree and the grey correlation degree,it is found that the equilibrium level of the four chains stated above manifests a gradually upward trend from extreme unco-ordination to a more coordinated state.The biggest contributor among the four chains is the innovation-industrial one.