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基于后悔理论-VIKOR法的微电网规划评价方法

Evaluation Method for Microgrid Planning Based on Regret Theory VIKOR Method
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摘要 针对现有微电网规划评价方法在评价过程中未能充分考虑系统与环境中不确定因素对于评价结果影响的问题,提出一种基于后悔理论-多准则妥协解排序法(VIKOR)的微电网规划评价方法。首先,考虑微电网规划阶段的需求,构建了包含系统经济性、环保性与技术性等在内的微电网规划评价指标体系;而后,顾及专家主观经验与指标客观数据所包含的信息,采用层次分析法(AHP)-相关性定权法(CRITIC)对指标体系进行主客观组合赋权;最后,考虑不确定因素对评价结果的影响,基于后悔理论在评价过程中引入欣喜-后悔函数与状态变量对VIKOR法进行改进,建立了基于后悔理论-VIKOR法的微电网规划评价模型。算例分析表明,所提评价方法考虑系统与环境中不确定因素以及决策者心理预期对于规划方案评价结果的影响,贴近于实际的微电网的规划方案决策需求。 To address the issue that existing microgrid planning evaluation methods do not adequately account for the influence of uncertainties in the system and environment on the evaluation results,a microgrid planning evaluation method based on regret theory-vlsekriterijumska optimizacija i kompromisno resenje(VIKOR)was proposed.Firstly,a microgrid planning evaluation index system was constructed,which includes system economics,environmental protection and technology,taking into account the needs of the microgrid planning stage.Then,the analytic hierarchy process(AHP)-criteria importance though intercrieria correlation(CRITIC)method was used to assign weights to the indicators,taking into account the subjective experience of experts and the information contained in the objective data of the indicators.Finally,considering the influence of uncertainties on the evaluation results,the VIKOR method was improved by introducing the euphoria-regret function and state variables in the evaluation process based on regret theory,and a microgrid planning evaluation model based on regret theory-VIKOR method was established.The analysis of the example shows that the proposed evaluation method consider the influence of uncertainties in the system and environment as well as the psychological expectations of decision-makers on the evaluation results of the planning scheme,and is close to the actual microgrid planning scheme decision needs.
作者 李睿哲 吴鸣 刘诗语 LI Ruizhe;WU Ming;LIU Shiyu(School of Electronics and Information Engineering,Shanghai University of Electric Power,Shanghai 200090,China;China Electric Power Research Institute,Beijing 100192,China)
出处 《电气传动》 2024年第2期65-73,共9页 Electric Drive
基金 国家自然科学基金(51877201)。
关键词 微电网 综合评价 后悔理论 VIKOR法 microgrid comprehensive evaluation regret theory VIKOR method
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