数字经济何以提升农业经济韧性:效应和机制

How Does the Digital Economy Enhance Agricultural Economic Resilience:Effects and Mechanisms

数字经济正驱动以往生产经营方式的变革,给农业经济系统带来新的挑战。利用2010—2021年省际面板数据从抵抗与恢复能力、适应与调节能力以及转型与创新能力三个维度测度农业经济韧性指数,并在此基础上构建固定效应模型与中介效应模型来考察数字经济对农业经济韧性的影响效应与作用机制。实证结果表明:在省域层面上数字经济对农业经济韧性具有积极影响,数字经济的发展能够显著地提升农业经济韧性的水平,该结论在经过一系列的稳健性检验后依旧稳健。机制分析发现农村产业融合发展是数字经济影响农业经济韧性的重要渠道。此外,数字经济影响农业经济韧性具有异质性,表现为数字经济在非粮食主产区、适应与调节以及转型与创新阶段正向影响效应更加突出。

The digital economy is driving the transformation of traditional production and management methods,bringing new challenges to the agricultural economic system.Using panel data from 2010 to 2021 at the provincial level,the agricultural economic resilience index was measured from three dimensions:resistance and recovery capacity,adaptability and adjustment capacity,and transformation and innovation capacity.Based on this,fixed effects models and mediation effects models were constructed to examine the impact and mechanism of the digital economy on agricultural economic resilience.The empirical results show that the digital economy has a positive impact on agricultural economic resilience at the provincial level.The development of the digital economy significantly enhances the level of agricultural economic resilience,and this conclusion remains robust after a series of robustness tests.The mechanism analysis finds that the integrated development of rural industries is an important channel through which the digital economy affects agricultural economic resilience.In addition,the impact of the digital economy on agricultural economic resilience is heterogeneous,with a more prominent positive effect in non-food-producing areas,adaptability and adjustment,and transformation and innovation stages.