国际化、供应链复杂性与供应链韧性

Internationalization,Supply Chain Complexity and Supply Chain Resilience

本文基于交易成本理论和生存分析模型,从抵御能力和恢复能力对供应链韧性进行量化分析,探究国际化程度对供应链韧性的影响,并考察供应链结构中的供应商复杂性和顾客复杂性对国际化程度与供应链韧性之间的调节效应。通过对126家上市汽车零部件企业数据进行分析,本文实证结果表明:国际化程度较高的企业在抵御能力和恢复能力方面均表现不佳;而供应商复杂性能够作为一种有效措施提高供应链抵御能力;顾客复杂性对供应链抵御能力具有负向影响;同时,两方面复杂性对供应链韧性中的恢复能力调节作用不显著。异质性分析发现,国际化程度的提高对于民营企业,位于中、西部地区的企业和规模较大的企业供应链抵抗能力造成了更明显的负向影响。

Based on the transaction cost theory and Cox survival analysis model,this paper carries out a quantitative analysis of supply chain resilience in terms of resistance and recovery capability.It also investigates the impact of the degree of internationali⁃zation on supply chain resilience by exploring the moderating effects of supplier complexity and customer complexity on the relation⁃ship between the degree of internationalization and supply chain resilience.Using the data of 126 listed companies,the results show that firms with higher level of internationalization showed weak resistance and recovery capability.Meanwhile,supplierscomplexity can enhance the supply chain resistance,while the customerscomplexity negatively affects supply chain resistance.In addition,supply chain complexity shows an insignificant impact on recovery capability.Heterogeneity analysis reveals that high level of inter⁃nationalization has more impact on the supply chain resistance of private firms,firms located in the central and western regions,and larger firms.