黄河流域人口结构与产业结构耦合关系研究

Study on the Coupling Relationship Between Population Structure and Industrial Structure in the Yellow River Basin

文章以黄河流域九省区为研究对象,构建了人口结构与产业结构综合评价指标体系,并运用综合指数分析模型,计算黄河流域2007—2022年人口结构与产业结构综合评价指数,借助耦合协调模型,测算黄河流域人口结构和产业结构耦合协调程度。结果表明,黄河流域人口和产业发展关系呈现由“人口滞后”向“产业滞后”发展的趋势,耦合协调度总体不高且流域间差异较大。因此,本文认为黄河流域要进行分区统筹管理,以期实现人口结构与产业结构相协调的高质量发展。

This paper takes nine provinces and regions of the Yellow River basin as the research object,establishes a comprehensive evaluation index system of population and industrial structures,and uses the comprehensive index analysis model to measure the comprehensive evaluation index of population and industrial structures in the Yellow River basin from 2007 to 2022 and study the coupling coordination relationship of population structure and industrial structure in the Yellow River basin by means of coupling coordination model.The findings reflect that the relationship between population and industry in the Yellow River basin sees a shift from the lag on the population to industry.The overall coupling coordination degree is relatively low and there are significant differences among regions.Therefore,this article suggests that the Yellow River basin should be divided and managed in a coordinated manner in order to achieve high-quality development between population structure and industrial structure.