全球通胀治理及其效果浅析

A brief analysis of global inflation governance and its effects

近两年,美国、欧盟、英国等国家(地区)的通货膨胀越来越高,拖延的时间越来越长,成为全球最为重要的经济事件之一。美国的通货膨胀是由多重特殊和复杂因素共振产生的,尤为严重。美国政府当前实施的国内外政策难以遏制通货膨胀,使其更加带有顽固性和黏性。美国、欧盟、英国普遍运用紧缩措施抑制通货膨胀,持续激进加息,虽推动总体通货膨胀走低,但依旧不稳定,尚未步入紧缩政策的转换期。通货膨胀治理长期化势必抑制消费需求和经济增长,然而由于多种因素作用,美国失业率暂时保持在低位,促使其消费旺盛和经济增长。美联储紧缩政策的滞后效应尚未完全显现,经济走势存在高度不确定性,金融市场状况依然迷雾重重。美国、欧盟、英国等国家(地区)依然面临经济衰退与金融危机的风险。

In the past two years,inflation in the United States,the European Union,the United Kingdom and other countries(regions)has become higher and higher,and the delay time has become longer and longer,which has become one of the most important economic events in the world.Inflation in the United States is caused by the resonance of multiple special and complex factors,and is particularly serious.The current domestic and foreign policies implemented by the U.S.government are difficult to curb inflation,making it even more stubborn and sticky.The United States,the European Union,and the United Kingdom generally use austerity measures to suppress inflation and continue to raise interest rates aggressively,although the overall inflation is driven down,it is still unstable and has not yet entered the transition period of austerity policies.The long-term control of inflation will inevitably suppress consumer demand and economic growth,but due to a variety of factors,the unemployment rate in the United States has remained low for the time being,prompting its consumption to be strong and economic growth.The lagged effects of the Fed’s austerity policies have not yet been fully felt,there is a high degree of uncertainty about the economic trend,and financial market conditions remain foggy.The United States,the European Union,the United Kingdom and other countries(regions)are still facing the risk of economic recession and financial crisis.