海外油气在产项目综合能力分析

Analysis of comprehensive capability of overseas in production petroleum projects

在“一带一路”倡议实施的背景下,能源领域的油气项目合作建设受到了广泛关注。中国作为石油进口国,同海外国家开展石油项目的合作是确保国家油气供应和能源安全的关键。与国内油气项目相比,海外项目投资大且回收期长,风险更高,政治、环境等不确定因素多。目前现有的评价考核体系大多从经济或风险单因素角度出发进行分析评测,其综合性与全面性不足,需要建立一套科学的项目综合能力评判方法对在产项目评价,选取优质项目运营。采用层次分析法计算权重,构建了一套多维度综合考虑各影响因素且能定量分析项目的评价体系,通过实证数据进行海外石油项目综合能力的比较,实现对海外在产项目的遴选及高质量发展。

In the context of the implementation of the Belt and Road Initiative,the cooperative construction of petroleum and gas projects in the field of energy has received wide attention.As a petroleum importing country,China's cooperation with other countries in petroleum and gas projects is the key to ensure national supply and energy security.Compared with domestic petroleum and gas projects,overseas projects have larger investment,longer payback period,higher risks,and more uncertainties such as political and environmental factors.At present,most of the existing evaluation and assessment systems are analyzed and evaluated from the perspective of economic or risk single factor,which is not integrated and comprehensive enough.Under the circumstances,it is necessary to establish a set of scientific evaluation methods for project comprehensive ability to evaluate in-production projects and select high-quality project operation.This paper uses analytic hierarchy process to calculate the weights,constructs a set of system that can consider various influencing factors comprehensively and quantitatively analyze the project evaluation.Finally compares the comprehensive ability of overseas petroleum and gas projects through empirical data,to achieve the selection and high-quality development of overseas projects.