研发强度目标导向对绿色发展的影响研究--基于合成控制法的实证研究

Research on the Influence of Target Orientation of R&D Intensity on Green Development:Empirical Research Based on Synthetic Control Method

政府工作报告中的研发强度指标所形成的目标导向效应,对推动区域绿色发展意义重大。以首次设立“研发强度目标”为准自然实验,采用反事实视角下的合成控制法研究研发强度目标导向对区域绿色发展水平的影响。研究发现:研发强度目标导向整体上实现了碳排放强度降低以及工业废气排放量与能源消耗量下降,并显著提高了区域绿色发展水平。异质性分析发现研发强度目标导向对东部、中部及西部地区产生的政策效应存在差异。

The target-oriented effect formed by the R&D intensity index in the government work report is of great significance to promoting regional green development.Based on the natural experiment of setting the R&D intensity target for the first time,the influence of R&D intensity target orientation on regional green development level is studied by using the synthetic control method from the counterfactual perspective.It finds that the target-oriented research and development intensity reduces carbon emission intensity,industrial waste gas emissions and energy consumption on the whole,and significantly improves the level of regional green development.Heterogeneity anslysis finds that the policy effects of R&D intensity target orientation on the eastern,central and western regions are different.