乌克兰危机下推进中俄农业深度合作的战略布局

The Strategic Planning for the Promotion of In-depth Agricultural Cooperation between China and Russia against the Backdrop of the Ukraine Crisis

乌克兰危机使粮食安全问题再次成为全球关注的焦点。俄罗斯拥有世界最大的国土面积,中国拥有世界最多的人口,中俄两国在国际农产品市场分别是需求者与供给者的角色。从两国农业合作的现实看,农产品贸易规模稳步提升,产业合作有序推进,但贸易相互依赖程度较低、市场错位发展、产业合作程度不高。在乌克兰危机不断升级的背景下,全球农产品供应链断裂风险不断加大,农产品贸易格局将面临重大调整。未来,中俄应围绕“纵链+横链”模式对农业产业合作进行战略布局。“纵链”应立足农业,从上游的种子研发、人才培养到中游的种植、养殖等,再到下游的加工、运输,实现全产业链垂直合作,不断拉长产业链,解决农业合作深度问题。“横链”应依托农业,融合其他行业形成“农业+”的复合发展模式,解决农业合作的宽度问题。通过搭建“纵链+横链”,使中俄农业产业合作走深走实,保障国家粮食安全。

Food security has become a global concern following the outbreak of the Ukraine crisis.China and Russia are playing the roles of a demander and a supplier in the international food market.China-Russian agricultural cooperation is characterized by low level of mutual reliance,different market development,and low level of industrial cooperation.Against the backdrop of the escalation of the Ukraine crisis,the risk of disruption in the supply chain of agricultural products is increasing while the landscape of agriculturai trade is facing significant adjustments.In the future,it is advisable for China and Russia to implement strategic planning for agricultural cooperation focusing on the model of"longitudinal chain+horizontal chain"and deepen the cooperation with practical results by building the model to guarantee national food security.