中国数字经济与旅游业高质量发展的协调格局及驱动机制

Coordination pattern and driving mechanism of digital economy and high-quality tourism development in China

基于2013—2020年面板数据,运用熵值法、耦合协调度模型、空间自相关分析、地理探测器揭示数字经济与旅游业高质量发展的耦合协调关系及其驱动机制。结果表明:①数字经济与旅游业高质量发展耦合协调度和相对发展度呈逐年上升趋势。耦合协调度随时间发展呈持续向好态势,而相对发展度则经历了数字经济“滞后发展–同步发展–超前发展”的变化过程。②处于协调阶段(Ⅲ、Ⅳ)的省域数量不断增多,并呈现由东部向中西部扩展延伸的空间演变格局;两者相对发展度的阶段跃迁现象较为明显,且东部地区阶段跃迁的省域明显多于中西部地区。③两者耦合协调度具有正向空间相关性,相关性强度呈现“西部>东部>中部>东北”的空间格局,且东部多为HH型集聚,西部多为LL型集聚。④两者耦合协调度由经济、社会、劳动力3种因素共同驱动,其中科研水平、第三产业劳动力和交通水平的解释力度显著高于其他驱动因子。

Digital economy is an important driving force for the transformation and development of China’s social economy and the optimization of regional industrial structure.Tourism is a happiness industry with unique influence in the new era.It is of great significance to explore the coupling and coordinated development of them.However,most researches focus on exploring the impact of digital technology,digital infrastructure and other relevant elements of digital economy on the development of tourism,while there is still little research on the interaction between the digital economy itself and tourism from the perspective of high-quality development,and their coupling mechanism and spatio-temporal pattern need to be further clarified.Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China(excluding Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan)from 2013 to 2020,this paper adopts the panel entropy method to measure the level of digital economy and high-quality tourism development.Based on the coupling coordination model,spatial autocorrelation analysis and geodetector,the spatiotemporal pattern,spatial correlation and driving mechanism of the coupling coordination between digital economy and high-quality tourism development are discussed.The results show that:1)From the perspective of time,the coupling coordination degree and relative development degree of digital economy and high-quality tourism development show an increasing trend year by year.In terms of coupling coordination degree,although most provinces are still in the stage of moderate imbalance(Ⅱ),the coordination trend continues to improve over time.Meanwhile,the relative development degree of the two has experienced a change process of“lagging-synchronous-advanced”development of the digital economy.2)From the perspective of space,during the study period,the number of provinces in the coordination stage(III and IV)is increasing,and the spatial evolution pattern is expanding from the east to the central and western regions of China.The stage transition phenomenon of their relative development degrees is obvious,and the number of provinces in the eastern region is significantly more than that in the central and western China.3)There is a positive spatial correlation between the degree of coupling and coordination of digital economy and high-quality tourism development and has a trend of increasing.The spatial correlation intensity of the coupling coordination degree of the 4 regions presents a spatial pattern of“West>East>Middle>Northeast”in China.Most of the eastern regions are“HH”clusters,while most of the western regions are“LL”clusters.4)The degree of coupling and coordination between digital economy and high-quality tourism development is driven by economic,social and labor factors.Among them,the explanatory power of scientific research level,labor force in the tertiary industry and transportation level is significantly higher than that of other driving factors.From the perspective of supply and demand,this paper systematically constructs the coupling mechanism between digital economy and high-quality tourism development,and clarifies the interaction between them.This paper can make provinces clearly understand the high-quality development level of local digital economy and tourism,so as to provide theoretical support and decision-making basis for tourism destination planning and development,digital economy and tourism macro policy formulation,industrial structure adjustment.