我国区域中心城市综合承载力:测度、聚类、演进

Comprehensive Bearing Capacity of Regional Hub Cities in China:Measurement,Clustering and Evolution

实现经济高质量发展需要提高中心城市和城市群综合承载和资源优化配置能力.基于此,文章构建中心城市综合承载力指数评价模型,对我国中心城市综合承载力进行测度,并对其进行系统聚类与演进分析.研究结果表明:总体上我国中心城市综合承载能力不足,虽然我国中心城市综合承载力相较于以往有所提升,但是仍然有较大的发展及优化空间.当前我国中心城市综合承载力主要分为5大类,呈现出“两超”“六强”“多发展”“普遍承载不足”的态势.除了上海、北京两个超大城市外,当前我国各区域中心城市总体承载力仍有较大提升空间.同时,区域间城市发展不平衡现像依然存在.

To achieve high-quality economic development,it is necessary to improve the comprehensive carrying capacity of hub cities and urban agglomerations and optimize the allocation of resources.Based on this,this paper constructed the evaluation model of the comprehensive carrying capacity index of hub cities,measured the comprehensive carrying capacity of hub cities in China,and conducted systematic clustering and evolution analysis.The research results show that the comprehensive carrying capacity of China’s hub cities is insufficient on the whole.Although the comprehensive carrying capacity of China’s hub cities has improved compared with the past,there is still a large space for development and optimization.At present,the comprehensive carrying capacity of central cities in China is mainly divided into five categories,showing a trend of“two super cities”,“six strong cities”,“multiple development”and“general insufficient carrying capacity”.In addition to Shanghai and Beijing,the overall carrying capacity of regional hub cities in China still has much room for improvement.At the same time,the imbalance of urban development between regions still exists.