新型城镇化与数字技术发展耦合协调

On the Loupling and Loordination of Digital Technology Development and New Urbanization

基于新型城镇化与数字技术发展耦合协调机理,以2013—2020年中国各省际层面为研究对象,运用因子分析法、熵权法、耦合协调度及空间计量模型,研究新型城镇化与数字技术发展的耦合协调及驱动因素。研究发现:从时间上看,协调发展水平从最初的极度失调发展到良好协调,整体耦合协调状况良好;从空间上看,协调类型以中级协调好良好协调为主,整体上呈现“东南部高、西北部低”和东南地区向全国各地区扩散的空间分布和演变格局。各省新型城镇化与数字技术发展耦合协调度存在显著的空间效应,各省人均财政支出、受教育水平、居民消费水平和产业结构都会显著促进二者耦合协调度,而城乡收入比会显著降低二者耦合协调度;同时,各驱动因素同样会对相邻地区耦合协调度产生间接影响。最后,在强化制度建设、打造特色发展路径及提升要素驱动等方面提出相关对策建议。

Based on the coupling and coordination mechanism of new urbanization and digital technolo⁃gy development,taking the provincial level of China from 2013 to 2020 as the research object,the fac⁃tor analysis method,entropy weight method,coupling coordination degree and spatial measurement model are used to study the coupling and coordination of new urbanization and digital technology de⁃velopment and driving factors.The research findings are:In terms of time,the level of coordinated de⁃velopment has developed from the initial extreme imbalance to good coordination,and the overall cou⁃pling coordination is in good condition;From the perspective of space,the coordination type is domi⁃nated by good coordination at the intermediate level.On the whole,it presents a spatial distribution and evolution pattern of“high in the southeast,low in the northwest”and the southeast spreading to all regions of the country.The coupling and coordination degree of new urbanization and digital tech⁃nology development in each province has a significant spatial effect.The per capita financial expendi⁃ture,education level,resident consumption level and industrial structure in each province will signifi⁃cantly promote the coupling and coordination of the two,while the urban⁃rural income ratio will signifi⁃cantly reduce the two.At the same time,each driving factor will also have an indirect impact on the coupling coordination degree of adjacent areas.Finally,it puts forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions in terms of strengthening system construction,creating characteristic development path and promoting factor driving.