“一带一路”沿线区域价值链中的结构性权力:演化特征及驱动因素

Analysis of Structural Power Evolution Characteristics and Driving Factors along the Belt and Road

使用UNCTAD-Eora增加值溯源数据,对世界各经济体在“一带一路”沿线区域价值链中的结构性权力进行测度,并分析其演化特征、分布格局及驱动因素。“一带一路”沿线区域的增加值贸易网络虽然以区域内贸易为主,但全球化和区域化在同步发展,且增加值贸易网络以亚洲经济体、欧洲经济体和美国为主体。“一带一路”沿线区域价值链中的结构性权力呈现明显的多极化分布,且权力大小程度分化严重,尤其是亚洲经济体的结构性权力优势明显。同时,“一带一路”沿线区域价值链中结构性权力呈现此消彼长的趋势,其中,金砖国家的结构性权力正在逐年上升,日本、英国、美国等发达经济体的结构性权力呈下降趋势。一国的结构性权力大小受到国家制度质量、经济发展水平、工业化水平、对外开放程度、全球价值链地位及劳动、资本、技术等要素禀赋的影响。

Using UNCTAD-Eora value-added traceability data to measure the structural power of the world's economies in the value chain network along the Belt and Road,and analyzes its evolution characteristics,distribution pattern and driving factors.The results show that although the value-added trade network along the Belt and Road is dominated by intra-regional trade,globalization and regionalization are developing simultaneously,and the valueadded trade network is dominated by Asian,European and American economies.The structural power along the Belt and Road shows obvious multi-polar distribution,and the degree of power differentiation is serious,especially the structural power advantage of Asian economies.At the same time,the structural power along the Belt and Road has an obvious trend of losing and losing.The structural power of BRICS countries is on the rise year by year,while that of developed economies such as Japan,the UK and the US is on the decline.The structural power of a country is influ-enced by the quality of national institutions,the level of economic development,the level of industrialization,the de-gree of opening-up,the position of global value chain and the endowment of labor,capital,technology and other fac-tors.