四川省旅游资源丰裕度与旅游流质量耦合协调演化分析

An Analysis on the Coupling and Coordinated Evolution of Tourism Resource Abundance and Tourism Flow Quality in Sichuan Province

文章基于2011—2019年四川省市域旅游资源与旅游流的面板数据,综合运用旅游资源丰度指数、旅游流流质指数、耦合协调度模型和核密度估计法测度分析旅游资源丰裕度与旅游流质量的变化及耦合协调演化特征。结果表明:(1)旅游资源丰裕度持续提高,旅游流质量小幅波动下降,两者的等级结构和空间差异显著。(2)旅游资源丰裕度与旅游流质量的核密度曲线显示两者未实现正向同步发展。(3)旅游资源丰裕度与旅游流质量的耦合协调度等级变化呈现“两极稳定,中间活跃”的特征;整体耦合协调度有小幅度提升,但大部分市域仍处于濒临失调或失调状态;不同耦合协调等级的市域分布也呈现出明显的空间分异特征。(4)整体旅游资源丰裕度与旅游流质量的耦合协调类型向高低型演进,提升旅游流质量可以有效提高本区域旅游业发展质量。

Based on the panel data of tourism resources and tourism flow in Sichuan province from 2011 to 2019,this paper uses comprehensively tourism resource abundance index,tourism flow quality index,coupling coordination degree model and kernel density estimation method to measure and analyze the changes and coupling coordination evolution of tourism resource abundance and tourism flow quality.The results show that:(1)The abundance of tourism resources continues to increase,and the quality of tourism flow fluctuates slightly,and the hierarchical structure and spatial difference are significant.(2)The kernel density curve of tourism resource abundance and tourism flow quality shows that they have not achieved positive synchronous development.(3)The change of the coupling coordination degree between the abundance of tourism resources and the quality of tourism flow shows the characteristics of‘two poles are stable and active in the middle’;the overall coupling coordination degree has been slightly improved,but most of the cities are still on the verge of imbalance or imbalance;the urban distribution of different coupling coordination levels also shows obvious spatial differentiation characteristics.(4)The coupling coordination type of overall tourism resource abundance and tourism flow quality evolves to high and low type.Improving the quality of tourism flow can improve effectively the quality of tourism development in the region.