乌克兰危机与西方的中俄关系认知及转换前景

The Ukraine Crisis and the West's Perception of Sino-Russian Relations:Prospects for Shift

乌克兰危机被称为“21世纪以来欧洲发生的最大规模军事冲突”,成为西方研究界再度强烈关注中俄关系“风吹草动”的催化剂。这些研究中,既有以宣扬两国关系脆弱性、结盟、存异为内核,并配合一些政客唱衰、抹黑、离间中俄关系的所谓“主流”认知,也有以强韧性、去等级化、求同为内核,尝试客观理解新型中俄关系内涵的“逆流”洞见。从危与机的辩证法角度看,“主流”与“逆流”之间存在着相互转换的可能性。然而,考虑到乌克兰危机恰逢新旧世界转换的关键时刻,西方关于中俄关系的认知要想从“逆流”转变成新的“主流”,显然将经历曲折复杂的过程,尤其是作为已被固化为西方意识形态组成部分的“主流论调”,还会继续成为“‘逆流’而上”难以跨越的一道门槛。

Labelled as“the largest military conflict in Europe since the 21^(st) century”,the Ukraine crisis has acted as a catalyst,drawing the Western academic community’s renewed focus towards the“turbulence”in Sino-Russian relations.Within these analyses,certain“mainstream”views have emerged,highlighting the perceived fragility,weaknesses,differences in Sino-Russian ties,colluding with some politicians to cast a pessimistic,disparaging,and alienating light.Conversely,there also exist“counter-current”opinions that advocate for resilience and an egalitarian approach,prioritizing commonalities at their core and striving for an objective comprehension of the nuanced,new dimensions of Sino-Russian ties.From the lens of crisis and opportunity dialectics,there are potentials for a mutual transition between“mainstream”and“counter-current”viewpoints.However,given the Ukraine crisis’s timing at a pivotal juncture between the old and new global order,it will undoubtedly be a winding and complex journey for Western perceptions to evolve from“counter-current”back to a refreshed“mainstream”.Particularly as the“mainstream narrative”has become entrenched within Western ideological frameworks,it will persist as a significant barrier to adopting a“counter-current”stance.