论“百年未有之大变局”的内在规律及我国的机遇和挑战——以大历史观为分析视角

On the Inherent Rules of “Great Changes Unseen in a Century”and China’s Opportunities and Challenges: A Macro-History Perspective

“百年未有之大变局”是以习近平同志为核心的党中央对当前世界形势作出的具有划时代意义的战略判断。“百年未有之大变局”本质上是对国际形势总体特征的判断,需要基于新时代大历史观视角准确认识这一论断。“百年未有之大变局”是国际力量对比深刻变化、经济全球化深入发展和西方推广其现代化模式的结果。我们需秉承宏大历史观,顺应“百年未有之大变局”的演进趋势和时代潮流,从国际格局、经济全球化和现代化模式三个维度,辩证看待我国面临的战略机遇和风险挑战。

The“great changes unseen in a century”is a strategic judgment about the current world situations made by the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China with Comrade Xi Jinping at the core,which is of epoch-making significance.The“great changes unseen in a century”is essentially a judgment of the overall characteristics of international situations,and an accurate understanding of this statement requires the perspective of the new era’s macro-history.The“great changes unseen in a century”is the result of profound changes in the strength contrast among countries,the deepening development of economic globalization,and the promotion of its modernization model by the West.With the macro-history perspective and in a dialectical way,we should follow the trend of“great changes unseen in a century”and the current of times,analyze the strategic opportunities and risks faced by China in three dimensions:international configuration,economic globalization,and modernization model.