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区域双碳目标与预测研究 被引量:3

Research on Regional Double Carbon Goals and Prediction
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摘要 以区域双碳目标为主线,综合运用了德尔菲法、差异性分析法和多元线性回归模型,深入研究和实施可持续发展与低碳经济的策略。德尔菲法汇集多领域专家意见,建立区域双碳目标共识,为碳排放规划提供基础;差异性分析法用于识别不同地区的碳排放特点、趋势和关键领域,为个性化碳排放路径的设计提供依据;多元线性回归模型解析碳排放与各影响因素的关系,为制定决策提供数据支持。通过整合3种方法,为实现区域双碳目标提供综合性工具,促进可持续发展和碳排放的有机结合。这一综合方法不仅有助于实施碳排放目标,还可以适应不同地区的需求,为未来可持续发展提供理论依据。 Based on the regional double carbon target,Delphi method,difference analysis method and multiple linear regression model are comprehensively used to deeply study and implement the strategy of sustainable development and low-carbon economy.Delphi method helpes to gather the opinions of experts in many fields,establishes a consensus on regional double carbon targets,and provides a basis for carbon emission planning.The difference analysis method is used to identify the characteristics,trends and key areas of carbon emission between different regions,which provides a basis for the design of personalized carbon emission paths.The multiple linear regression model analyzes the relationship between carbon emission and various influencing factors,and provides data support for decision-making.By integrating these three methods,it provides a set of comprehensive tools to achieve the regional double carbon goal,and promotes the organic combination of sustainable development and carbon emission.This comprehensive method not only helps to implement carbon emission targets,but also can meet the needs of different regions,providing a theoretical basis for future sustainable development.
作者 刘东格 孟繁华 冯瑞 衣丽葵 LIU Dongge;MENG Fanhua;FENG Rui;YI Likui(College of Electric Power,Shenyang Institute of Engineering,Shenyang,Liaoning 110136,China)
出处 《东北电力技术》 2024年第3期57-62,共6页 Northeast Electric Power Technology
关键词 区域双碳 德尔菲法 回归分析 预测 regional double carbon Delphi method regression analysis prediction
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