国土空间用途管制对中国经济高质量发展的影响研究——基于强度和效度视角

The effect of territorial and spatial use regulation on China's high-quality economic development:Based on the perspective of intensity and validity

基于地理探测器等方法,使用2010—2021年省级面板数据,从强度和效度视角研究国土空间用途管制对中国经济高质量发展的影响。得出以下研究结果:(1)国土空间用途管制强度对经济高质量发展有显著影响,因子影响力为0.089;(2)国土空间用途管制效度对经济高质量发展具有显著影响,因子影响力为0.406;(3)全国、东部、中部、西部和东北地区的国土空间用途管制强度位于6.29~7.46、7.14~8.66、6.22~6.94、7.72~9.11和3.59~4.29区间时,经济高质量发展均值最高。研究认为科学实施国土空间用途管制,可以推动中国经济高质量发展,提出了保持国土空间用途管制最优强度区间与完善补偿机制、提升国土空间用途管制效度、有针对性地拟定各地区经济高质量发展实施方案的建议。

Territorial and spatial use regulation can correct market failure,but its policy externality may widen the development gap between regions and affect the overall high-quality development of China's economy.It is of vital significance to clarify and validate the practical effects of territorial and spatial use regulation on high-quality economic development and the underlying theoretical logic.Marginal analysis and geographical detector methods were adopted in this study.Based on provincial panel data from 2010 to 2021,this paper analyzes and verifies the effects of territorial and spatial use regulation on high-quality economic development in China from two dimensions:regulation intensity and regulation validity.Research findings:(1)From a national perspective,the influencing factors of high-quality economic development are opening-up,technology investment,validity of territorial and spatial use regulation,capital stock,human capital,and intensity of territorial and spatial use regulation.(2)There is regional heterogeneity in the impact of human capital and technology investment on high-quality economic development.(3)There is an inverted U-shaped curve relationship between the intensity of territorial and spatial use regulation and the level of highquality economic development.With the increase in the intensity of territorial and spatial use regulation,the level of high-quality development of regional economy first increases and then decreases.(4)The validity of territorial and spatial use regulation is significantly and positively correlated with the level of high-quality economic development.The factor contribution of the validity of territorial and spatial use regulation to high-quality economic development is 0.406.The following conclusions can be drawn:Scientific implementation of territorial and spatial use regulation can promote high-quality economic development in China.The study proposes suggestions and enlightenments on promoting high-quality development of the China's economy,such as maintaining the optimal range of territorial and spatial use regulation intensity,improving the compensation mechanism,enhancing the validity of territorial and spatial use regulation,and formulating targeted implementation plans for high-quality economic development in different regions.