新疆能源消费碳排放时空特征及能源结构调整路径探讨

Spatiotemporal characteristics of carbon emissions from energy consumption and the approach to energy structure adjustment in Xinjiang

新疆作为我国重要的能源生产与供给基地,合理的协调经济发展与能源碳排放之间的关系,是实现其经济可持续发展与节能减排目标的重要前提。本文在整理新疆各类统计数据的基础上利用空间自相关对新疆2000—2020年能源消费碳排放的时空特征进行了测算和分析。结果表明:(1)研究期间新疆能源消费碳排放总量呈现逐年增加的趋势,但碳排放强度整体上呈现下降趋势;(2)碳排放强度的空间分布特征表现为:天山东坡碳排放强度较高,准噶尔北缘、天山北坡和昆仑山北坡则相对较低,并且具有明显的集聚特点;(3)在全球变暖与碳减排的大背景下,新疆需要从区域资源禀赋特点入手,建立差异化的能源结构调整策略,通过构建多能互补的绿色能源网络,促进区域实现“双碳”目标和社会经济的高质量发展。

As an important energy production and supply base in China,Xinjiang plays a pivotal role in the deli-cate balance between economic development and carbon emissions.Ensuring a harmonious coordination between these factors is essential to achieve sustainable economic growth and meet goals related to energy conservation and emission reduction.This paper measures and analyzes the spatiotemporal characteristics of energy consump-tion carbon emissions in Xinjiang from 2000 to 2020 using spatial autocorrelation based on the data obtained from Xinjiang Statistical Yearbook.Results indicate that the total carbon emission intensity from energy consump-tion in Xinjiang shows an increasing trend every year during the study period.Nevertheless,the overall trend re-veals a reduction in the intensity of carbon emissions.The spatial distribution of carbon emission intensity shows that the eastern slope of Tianshan Mountain has a high carbon emission intensity,whereas the northern edge of Junggar,the northern slope of Tianshan Mountain,and the northern slope of Kunlun Mountain has a low carbon emission intensity.These regions exhibit evident clustering characteristics.Considering global warming and car-bon emission reduction,Xinjiang must work toward achieving the goals of“carbon peak”and“carbon neutrali-ty”while promoting high-quality socioeconomic development in the area through the implementation of a multi-energy,complementary green energy network.