土地流转意愿与行为悖离的影响因素及发生机制——基于山西省欠发达县5307份农户样本

The influencing factors and mechanisms of the contradiction between land transfer willingness and behavior:Based on 5307 farmer samples from underdeveloped counties in Shanxi Province

基于山西省58个欠发达县5 307份实地调研数据,采用Logistic-ISM模型分析其影响因素及发生机制。结果表明,山西省欠发达县农户土地流转意愿和行为的悖离现象较普遍,已经成为该区域土地流转进程中较明显的障碍因素,农户土地流转意愿与行为存在较普遍的悖离现象,在有土地流转意愿的2 742户农户中,1 892户农户(69.00%)并没有发生土地流转行为;在没有土地流转意愿的2 565户农户中,1 163户农户(445.34%)发生了土地流转行为;农户年龄、无非农就业能力、流转收益低、难找交易对象、担心失去保障和担心毁约对悖离现象具有正向的显著影响;农户健康状况、农户受教育程度、总人口、非农收入占比、最大块耕地面积和最小块耕地面积对悖离现象产生负向的显著影响;在此基础上,对悖离因子进行深层次分析,形成“一路径,两驱动”的层次结构;以提高农户非农就业能力为突破口,重点解决农户个体特征与家庭特征对土地流转的限制影响,立足调控思路,结合因素作用路径,提出适应化的调控举措。

Based on 5307 field survey data from 58 underdeveloped counties in Shanxi Province,the Logistic-ISM model was used to analyze the influencing factors and occurrence mechanisms.The results indicated that the phenomenon of deviation between the will-ingness and behavior of farmers in underdeveloped counties of Shanxi Province in land transfer was quite common,and had become a significant obstacle factor in the process of land transfer in the region.There was a common phenomenon of deviation between the will-ingness and behavior of farmers in land transfer.Among 2742 households with land transfer intention,1892 households(69.00%)did not engage in land transfer behavior;among 2565 households without land transfer intention,1163 households(445.34%)en-gaged in land transfer behavior;the age of farmers,lack of non-agricultural employment ability,low transfer income,difficulty in find-ing transaction partners,fear of loss of security,and fear of breach of contract had a significant positive impact on the phenomenon of deviation;the health status of farmers,education level of farmers,total population,proportion of non-agricultural income,maximum and minimum cultivated land area had a significant negative impact on the phenomenon of paradox;on this basis,a deep analysis of the paradox factor was conducted to form a hierarchical structure of“one path,two drives”;taking improving the non-agricultural em-ployment ability of farmers as a breakthrough point,the focus was on addressing the restrictive effects of individual and family charac-teristics of farmers on land transfer.Based on regulatory ideas and combined with factor pathways,adaptive regulatory measures were proposed.