农村人口老龄化对城乡消费差距的影响——以长江经济带为例

The impact of rural population aging on the consumption gap between urban and rural areas:Taking the Yangtze River Economic Belt as an example

基于2012—2021年长江经济带省级面板数据,构建OLS模型分析该经济带农村人口老龄化对城乡消费差距的影响。结果表明,长江经济带农村人口老龄化对该经济带城乡消费差距有显著的缩小效应,对城镇居民和农村居民的人均消费支出则有显著的扩大效应,且对城镇居民人均消费支出的扩大效应小于对农村居民人均消费支出的扩大效应。区域回归结果表明,农村人口老龄化对长江经济带各区域城乡消费差距均有显著的缩小效应,且对中游城乡消费差距的缩小效应更强,对上游的缩小效应次之,下游最小。

Based on the provincial panel data of the Yangtze River Economic Belt from 2012 to 2021,the OLS model was constructed to analyze the impact of rural population aging on the urban-rural consumption gap in the economic belt.The results showed that the aging of rural population in the Yangtze River Economic Belt had a significant narrowing effect on the urban-rural consumption gap,while it had a significant expanding effect on the per capita consumption expenditure of urban and rural residents.The expanding effect on the per capita consumption expenditure of urban residents was smaller than that on the per capita consumption expenditure of rural residents.The regional regression results indicated that the aging of rural population had a significant narrowing effect on the urban-ru-ral consumption gap in various regions of the Yangtze River Economic Belt,and the narrowing effect on the urban-rural consumption gap in the middle reaches was stronger,followed by the narrowing effect on the upstream,and the smallest effect was on the down-stream.