中国家政服务业发展的时空演变特征及影响因素

Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of domestic service industry development in China

基于“天眼查”网络大数据,采用泰尔指数、空间自相关及地理探测器等方法,分析中国家政服务业发展的时空演变特征及影响因素。结果表明:1)中国家政服务业发展经历了孕育、成长、兴起、繁荣四个阶段。2000—2020年,家政服务业发展区域差异不断缩小,区域内差异始终大于区域间差异,东部地区内差异最大。2)中国家政服务业发展空间分异明显,较低、中等、较高水平区变化较大,但东-中-西阶梯式递减态势始终未变,高水平区位于广东、江苏、山东等地,低水平区包括西藏、青海、宁夏、海南等地,家政服务业发展空间分布日趋集聚。3)影响家政服务业发展的核心因素由经济、空间因素为主,人口因素为辅转变为经济、人口、信息因素为主,空间、企业自身因素为辅。影响不同地区家政服务业发展的主导因素不尽相同。

Based on the"tianyancha"network big data,we analysis the spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of domestic service industry development in China by using the Theil index,spatial autocorrelation and geographic detector techniques.The results show that:(1)The domestic service industry development in China can be divided into four stages:incubation stage,growth stage,rising stage and prosperity stage.From 2000 to 2020,the regional difference of domestic service industry development has been shrinking and greater than the inter-regional differences,with the largest difference in the eastern region.(2)The development level of domestic service industry in China shows obvious spatial differentiation,the low,medium and high-level areas change greatly,but the trend of"east-middle-west"stepwise decline has not changed.Guangdong,Jiangsu and Shandong are always high-level areas.Tibet,Qinghai,Ningxia and Hainan are always low-level areas.At the same time,the spatial distribution of domestic service industry development is gathering day by day.(3)In 2000,economic and spatial factors were the main factors,and population factors were the auxiliary factors.While in 2020,economic,population and information factors were the main factors,and spatial factors and enterprises'own factors were the auxiliary factors.At the same time,the leading factors for the spatial differences in domestic service industry development in different regions are different.