数字技术与城市韧性耦合——基于我国285个城市的实证分析

A Study on the Coupling of Digital Technology and Urban Resilience: An Empirical Analysis Based on Data of 285 Cities in China

城市承担着经济社会发展的重任,城市良性建设是我国经济高质量发展的必要条件。随着新兴数字技术不断加深应用于城市规划建设和管理治理,以数字技术为引擎提升城市韧性水平是实现城市高质量发展的重要途径。基于此,梳理数字技术与城市韧性之间的耦合协调过程,构建城市韧性水平和数字技术发展水平指标,采用耦合协调度模型、Dagum基尼系数以及障碍度模型对我国285个地级市及以上城市2012—2021年的数字技术和城市韧性耦合协调发展水平进行综合测度,并探讨耦合协调度的时序演进、空间差异以及影响因素。研究发现:第一,我国数字技术和城市韧性整体发展水平均呈稳步上升趋势,同时,二者的耦合协调度也在不断上升。第二,我国数字技术与城市韧性耦合空间差异呈现先下降后回升的趋势,其中,华中、华北地区数字技术与城市韧性的耦合协调发展更为均衡,而华南地区的失调水平最高。第三,数字基础设施和社会韧性是影响数字技术系统和城市韧性系统耦合协调水平的关键因素。为进一步提升数字技术与城市韧性系统之间的相互作用效果,要积极搭建数据共享、标准统一和融合互通的数据平台;推动资源和人才的跨区域流动,促进与周边城市、都市圈、城市群的协同发展;注重数字基础设施建设和社会保障与福利提升,推动医疗卫生、养老服务、扶残助残等公共服务设施统筹布局等。

Cities bear the heavy responsibility of economic and social development,and benign urban construction is a necessary condition for high-quality economic development in China.With the deepening application of emerging digital technologies in urban planning,construction,and management governance,using digital technology as an engine to enhance urban resilience is an important way to achieve high-quality urban development.Based on this background,this article first outlines the coupling mechanism between digital technology and urban resilience.Using the coupling coordination degree model,Dagum Gini coefficient,and obstacle degree model,the coupling coordination’s development level of digital technology and urban resilience in 285 cities from 2012 to 2021 is comprehensively measured,and the temporal evolution,spatial differences,and influencing factors of coupling coordination are explored.Research has found that the overall development level of digital technology and urban resilience in China is steadily increasing,and the degree of coupling and coordination between the two is also constantly increasing.The spatial difference between the coupling of digital technology and urban resilience in China shows a trend of first decreasing and then rebounding.The coupling and coordinated development of digital technology and urban resilience in central and northern China is more balanced,while the imbalance level is highest in southern China.Meanwhile,digital infrastructure and social resilience are key factors that affect the level of coupling and coordination between digital technology systems and urban resilience systems.To further enhance the interaction between digital technology and urban resilience systems,it is necessary to actively build a data platform that shares data,unifies standards,and integrates interoperability;Promote cross regional flow of resources and talents,and promote coordinated development with surrounding cities,metropolitan areas,and urban agglomerations;Pay attention to the construction of digital infrastructure and the improvement of social security and welfare,promote the overall layout of public service facilities such as healthcare,elderly care services,and assistance for the disabled.