中国森林防灭火的风险挑战与思考展望

Historical Review and Future Prospect of Forest Fire Prevention and Suppression in China

在全球气候变化的背景下,中国森林火灾的风险显著增加,对国家生态安全和社会经济发展构成了严峻挑战。本研究通过对中国不同省份的气象因子与森林火灾之间的相关性进行细致分析,旨在揭示这些变量在空间分布上的差异性及其对火灾风险的潜在影响。研究结果显示,风速、最高温度、降水量、相对湿度以及平均温度等因子在各省的相关性系数分布表现出显著的区域特征,这些特征反映了各地区森林火灾发生与气候条件存在密切关联,可为制定针对性的防控措施提供重要依据。通过对这些气象因子相关性的深入分析,本研究进一步探讨了在中国不同地区实施有效的森林防火策略的可能性,以及如何在变化的气候条件下优化防灭火资源配置,增强森林火灾的应急响应能力。

In the context of global climate change,the risk of Chinese forest fires has increased significantly,which constitutes a severe challenge to national ecological security and socio-economic development.This study conducted a detailed analysis of the correlation between meteorological factor and forest fire in different provinces in China,aiming to reveal the differences of these variables in spatial distribution and its potential impact on fire risk.The results of the research show that the correlation coefficient distribution of wind speed,maximum temperature,precipitation,relative humidity,and average temperature in various provinces shows significant regional characteristics.These characteristics reflect that the occurrence of forest fires in various regions is closely related to climate conditions.It provides an important basis for formulating targeted prevention and control measures.Through an in-depth analysis of these meteorological factors correlation,this study further explores the possibility of implementing effective forest fire prevention strategies in different regions of China,and how to optimize the allocation of fire-extinguishing fire resources under changing climate conditions to enhance the emergency response to forest fires.